Economic Theory and Business Management ›› 2014, Vol. 34 ›› Issue (5): 22-31.
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ZHEN Feng
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Online:
Published:
甄峰
作者简介:
基金资助:
中国博士后科学基金项目(2012T50193);北京高等学校青年英才计划项目(YETP0226)
Abstract: In the background of global economic crisis and fast growing of China, this paper built a route of the internationalization of Renminbi on the monetary function. The empirical models suggested that the flowing and stock of Renminbi in official reserve, international settlement and international debt securities market would grow fast. However, it was difficult to shake the position of US dollar. Under the broad prospects, the internationalization of Renminbi could be promoted in three areas. The first was to improve the reform of economic and financial system, build a positive interaction between the reform and internationalization. The second was to improve the involvement of Renminbi in both international market and international governance. The third was to build the linkage between onshore and offshore market by enlarge the crossborder tunnels and develop Hong Kong offshore market.
Key words: internationalization of Renminbi , route , forecast , reform
摘要: 本文从人民币国际化的国内外环境入手,提出基于货币职能的人民币国际化渐进路径。以经验模型为基础,研究表明若全方位国际化将推动人民币在官方储备、国际清算和国际债券的存量和流量上快速提升,但近期很难冲击美元地位。面对广阔前景,本文强调未来人民币国际化与国内改革的协调与相互配合,积极参与国际市场和国际治理,建设跨境渠道和发挥香港离岸市场作用等方向同时推进。
关键词: 人民币国际化 , 路径 , 预测 , 改革
ZHEN Feng. THE INTERNATIONALIZATION OF RENMINBI: DEVELOPMENT, PROSPECTS AND ORIENTATION[J]. Economic Theory and Business Management, 2014, 34(5): 22-31.
甄峰. 人民币国际化:路径、前景与方向[J]. 经济理论与经济管理, 2014, 34(5): 22-31.
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http://jjll.ruc.edu.cn/EN/Y2014/V34/I5/22