CHINA´S  ECONOMIC TRENDS AND MACROECONOMIC POLICY

Economic Theory and Business Management ›› 2012, Vol. 31 ›› Issue (5): 5-11.

CHINA´S ECONOMIC TRENDS AND MACROECONOMIC POLICY

ZHANG Lian-Cheng, LANG Li-Hua

School of Economics, Capital University of Economics and Business, Beijing 100070, China

Received:2012-04-02 Online:2012-06-06 Published:2012-05-16

中国经济走势与宏观经济政策取向

张连城, 郎丽华

首都经济贸易大学

作者简介:张连城（1951—），男，北京市人，首都经济贸易大学经济学院院长，教授；郎丽华（1963—），女（满族），吉林通化人，首都经济贸易大学经济学院副院长，教授，经济学博士。

Abstract

Abstract: Based on historical and logic analysis, this paper argued that Chinas future macroeconomic trends were determined by Chinas and global economic governance mode and policy, which presented a positive trend in coming years Therefore the goals of Chinas economic policy were to maintain moderate growth, to promote structural adjustment and to control inflation in 2012 and the coming period.

Key words: business cycle , macroeconomic trend , moderate economic growth , policy option

摘要： 本文采用历史分析和逻辑研究相结合的方法，认为中国经济的运行规律是决定中国未来宏观经济走势的基础，而世界经济运行规律和中国的宏观经济政策选择也影响着宏观经济的走势。无论从中国经济自身的运动规律还是从世界经济的运行规律来看，未来几年中国经济增长总体上都将呈现向好的趋势。因此，2012年及其未来一段时间，保持经济适度增长，促进结构调整，抑制通货膨胀，将成为中国经济发展的主旋律和政策选择的目标。

关键词: 经济周期 , 宏观经济走势 , 适度经济增长 , 政策取向

ZHANG Lian-Cheng, LANG Li-Hua. CHINA´S ECONOMIC TRENDS AND MACROECONOMIC POLICY[J]. Economic Theory and Business Management, 2012, 31(5): 5-11.

张连城, 郎丽华. 中国经济走势与宏观经济政策取向[J]. 经济理论与经济管理, 2012, 31(5): 5-11.

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