Abstract: This paper analyses the relations of inventory investment and economic cycle from the aspects of macro,industry and micro levels,educes the viewpoint that we can foresee economic wave based on inventory investment.According to China's the reality of the decline of inventory investment,we puts forward some suggestions about paying more attention to inventory investment data,and keeping on taking active macro policies.

Key words: inventory investment, economic cycle, policy suggestion

摘要： 本文从宏观、中观、微观三个层面分析了存货投资与经济周期的关系,得出存货投资波动可预知未来经济波动的观点。针对我国目前存货投资下滑的现状,本文提出了密切关注存货投资数据变动,继续采取积极的宏观政策的建议。

关键词: 存货投资, 经济周期, 政策建议